Who Will Win Lagos State?

According to our statistical election-forecasting machine,Nigeria's APC is likely going to retain their
position at the Feb 28 governorship election. Regardless of whether Jonathan or Buhari wins, Nigeria’s presidential election, the new governor of Lagos state will play a huge role in the development and growth of Nigeria.

The race for the 2015 Governorship elections in Lagos State is heating up and major candidates, Jimi Agbaje of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Akinwunmi Ambode of the All Progressives Congress (APC)

With one eye on the presidential election, the second eye is solely focused on who will win Lagos state. The APC through the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), have ruled Lagos since 1999. Former Lagos Governor Bola Tinubu, and current Gov. Babatunde Fashola have received international acclaim for their governance model


With Fashola term-limited, Lagos’s next governor will most likely be APC candidate Akinwunmi Ambode – another veteran of Tinubu’s administration. In 2011, the ACN won 81 percent of the vote.


Osaseye agree with the Washington Post by Alex Thurston that 'If the APC loses Lagos’s governorship this year, it will be a sign either that things went terribly wrong for the APC’s campaign or that massive fraud occurred. In either case, it would bode poorly for the APC’s continued existence as a viable national party. An Ambode victory, on the other hand, would likely represent continuity in policy. Finally, it will be important to see whether the APC can deliver Lagos for Buhari – a strong showing in the southwest and the “Middle Belt” could give the APC the presidency.'